Who & what is to be believed?
Peak oil - The end of the worlds oil supply is a scary proposition...
Oil extraction from wells will be physically unable to meet global demand (the evidence is from the oil industry itself).
Alternative energy sources like nuclear and natural gas will fall far short of compensating for expected shortages of oil. There is simply not enough time to convert over to them.
Massive disruptions to transportation and the economy are expected from about 2005-2010 onward as the global decline of petroleum begins.
Most significant effects:
Gradual, permanent cut-off of fuel for transport and for industrial machinery. Global trade will greatly decline.
Agriculture (massive food shortages) depends heavily on fertilizers and chemicals made from oil.
Shortages of 500,000 other goods made from oil.
Therefore, reduction of virtually all business and government activity. Very serious unemployment.
oil crash
energy depletion
Wolf at the door
"There is some speculation that oil is abiotic in origin -- generally asserting that oil is formed from
magma instead of an organic origin. These ideas are really groundless. All unrefined oil carries microscopic
evidence of the organisms from which it was formed. These organisms can be traced through the fossil record
to specific time periods when quantities of oil were formed. "
Likewise, there are two primal energy forces operating on this planet, and all forms of energy descend from
one of these two. The first is the internal form of energy heating the Earth's interior. This primal energy
comes from radioactive decay and from the heat energy originally generated during accretion of the planet
some 4.6 billion years ago. There are no known mechanisms for transferring this internal energy into any
secondary energy source. And the chemistry of magma does not compare to the chemistry of hydrocarbons.
Magma is lacking in carbon compounds, and hydrocarbons are lacking in silicates. If hydrocarbons were
generated from magma, then you would expect to see some closer kinship in their chemistry.
The second primal energy source is light and heat generated by our sun. It is the sun's energy that
powers all energy processes on the Earth's surface, and which provides the very energy for life
itself. Photosynthesis is the miraculous process by which the sun's energy is converted into
forms available to the life processes of living matter. Following biological, geological
and chemical processes, a line can be drawn from photosynthesis to the formation of hydrocarbon
deposits. Likewise, both living matter and hydrocarbons are carbon based.
Finally, because oil generation is in part a geological process, it proceeds at an extremely slow rate
from our human perspective. Geological processes take place over a different frame of time than human
events. It is for this reason that when geologists say that the San Andreas fault is due for a powerful
earthquake, they mean any time in the next million years -- probably less. Geological processes move
exceedingly slow.
After organic matter has accumulated on the sea floor, it must be buried by the process of deposition.
In geological time, in order for this matter to be a likely prospect for hydrocarbon generation, the
rate of deposition must be quick. Here is an experiment you can conduct to get an idea how slow the
rates of deposition are. Place a small stone on the bottom of a motionless pond. Take another stone
of about the same size and place it at the mouth of a small stream, a stream where the current is
not so great that it will sweep the stone away. Check both of these stones yearly until they have
been buried by deposition. You might see the stone at the mouth of the stream covered over
within a few years, but it is unlikely that you will see the stone in the pond buried within
your lifetime.
It is a simple geological fact that the oil we are using up at an alarming rate today will not
be replaced within our lifetime -- or within many lifetimes. That is why hydrocarbons are
called non-renewable resources. Capped wells may appear to refill after a few years, but
they are not regenerating. It is simply an effect of oil slowly migrating through pore
spaces from areas of high pressure to the low-pressure area of the drill hole. If
this oil is drawn out, it will take even longer for the hole to refill again.
Oil is a non-renewable resource generated and deposited under special
biological and geological conditions.
The abiotic oil debate and "peak oil"
The Club Of Rome
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"The Club of Rome is a group of scientists, economists, businessmen, international high civil servants, heads of State and former heads of State who pool their different experiences from a wide range of backgrounds to come to a deeper understanding of the world problematique..."
"...'World Problematique' is a concept created by the Club of Rome to describe the set of the crucial problems political, social, economic, technological, environmental, psychological and cultural - facing humanity.
The complexity of the world problematique lies in the high level of mutual interdependence of all these problems on the one hand, and in the long time it often takes until the impact of action and reaction in this complex system becomes visible."
Club of Rome
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The initial membership list of the Club of Rome, as it turns out, contains some interesting names:
David Rockefeller: Bilderberger, cofounder of the Trilateral Commission, former chairman of the Council
on Foreign Relations, scion of the world's most prominent oil dynasty, and all-around bad guy.
John J. McCloy: Former advisor to the Mussolini regime who had the honor of sitting in Adolf Hitler's
private box at the Berlin Olympic games; later served as High Commissioner of Germany, during which
time he signed an order freeing the majority of the Nazi war criminals that had been convicted at
Nuremberg; still later, served on the infamous Warren Committee.
Averell Harriman: Skull and Bonesman and high-level political operative through several presidential
administrations; together with members of the Dulles family and the Bush/Walker family, established
various business entities engaged in providing funding to Nazi Germany, even after the United States
had entered the war.
Katherine Graham: Longtime publisher of the Washington Post and longtime CIA asset who once famously said,
while speaking at the CIA's Langley, Virginia headquarters:
"We live in a dirty and dangerous world. There are some things the general public does not need to
know and shouldn't. I believe democracy flourishes when the government can take legitimate steps
to keep its secrets and when the press can decide whether to print what it knows." -
Whoa, Dude! Are We Peaking Yet?
by Dave McGowan
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China has resources
The Information Office of the State Council issued a white paper titled China's Policy on Mineral Resources Tuesday.
The 12,500-Chinese character document, the first of its kind, says China will depend mainly on the exploitation of its own mineral resources to guarantee the needs of its modernization drive.
It also points to the importance of sustainable development and the rational utilization of mineral resources while increasing international cooperation in this regard.
China issues white paper on mineral resources policy
"China is rich in mineral resources, and all the world's known minerals can be found here. To date, geologists have confirmed reserves of 153 different minerals, putting China third in the world in total reserves. Proven reserves of energy sources include coal, petroleum, natural gas, and oil shale; and radioactive minerals include uranium and thorium. China's coal reserves total 1,007.1 billion tons, mainly distributed in north China, with Shanxi and the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region taking the lead. Petroleum reserves are mainly in northwest and also in northeast China, north China and the continental shelves in east China. Proven reserves of ferrous metals include iron, manganese, vanadium and titanium. China's 45.9 billion tons of iron ore are mainly distributed in northeast, north and southwest China. The Anshan-Benxi Area in Liaoning, east Hebei, and Panzhihua in Sichuan are major iron producers. China has the world's largest reserves of tungsten, tin, antimony, zinc, molybdenum, lead, mercury and other nonferrous metals; its reserves of rare earth metals far exceed the total for the rest of the world. "
United Nations report
Russia has resources
In 1970 the Russians started drilling Kola SG-3, an exploration well which finally reached a staggering
world record depth of 40,230 feet. Since then, Russian oil majors including Yukos have quietly drilled
more than 310 successful super-deep oil wells, and put them into production. Last Year Russia overtook
Saudi Arabia as the world's biggest single oil producer, and is now set to completely dominate global
oil production and sales for the next century. - Joe Vialls
"It has become fashionable to assert that because "the resources of the earth are finite", therefore we must
face some day of reckoning, and will need to plan for "negative growth". All this, it is pointed out, is
because these resources are being consumed at an increasing rate to support our western lifestyle and to
cater for the increasing demands of developing nations.
The assertion that we are likely to run out of
resources is a re-run of the "Limits to Growth" argument (1) fashionable in the early 1970s, which was
substantially disowned by its originators, the Club of Rome, subsequently. It also echoes similar concerns
raised by economists in the 1930s, and by Malthus at the end of the 18th Century.
In recent years there has been persistent misunderstanding and misrepresentation of the abundance of
mineral resources, with the assertion that the world is in danger of actually running out of many
mineral resources. While congenial to common sense, it lacks empirical support in the trend of
practically all mineral commodity prices over the long term."
The Sustainable Supply of Mineral Resources - A Minerals Industry Perspective
Ian Hore-Lacey , Uranium Information Centre,
Melbourne, Australia
MEXICO HAS REPLENISHING SUPPLIES?
Deep underwater, and deeper underground, scientists see surprising hints that gas and oil deposits can be replenished, filling up again, sometimes rapidly.
Although it sounds too good to be true, increasing evidence from the Gulf of Mexico suggests that some old oil fields are being refilled by petroleum surging up from deep below, scientists report. That may mean that current estimates of oil and gas abundance are far too low.
Recent measurements in a major oil field show "that the fluids were changing over time; that very light oil and gas were being injected from below, even as the producing [oil pumping] was going on," said chemical oceanographer Mahlon "Chuck" Kennicutt. "They are refilling as we speak. But whether this is a worldwide phenomenon, we don't know."
Also not known, Kennicutt said, is whether the injection of new oil from deeper strata is of any economic significance, whether there will be enough to be exploitable. The discovery was unexpected, and it is still "somewhat controversial" within the oil industry.
Kennicutt, a faculty member at Texas A&M University, said it is now clear that gas and oil are coming into the known reservoirs very rapidly in terms of geologic time. The inflow of new gas, and some oil, has been detectable in as little as three to 10 years. In the past, it was not suspected that oil fields can refill because it was assumed the oil formed in place, or nearby, rather than far below.
According to marine geologist Harry Roberts, at Louisiana State University, "petroleum geologists don't accept it as a general phenomenon because it doesn't happen in most reservoirs. But in this case, it does seem to be happening. You have a very leaky fault system that does allow it to migrate in. It's directly connected to an oil and gas generating system at great depth."
What the scientists suspect is that very old petroleum -- formed tens of millions of years ago -- has continued migrating up into reservoirs that oil companies have been exploiting for years. But no one had expected that depleted oil fields might refill themselves.
Now, if it is found that gas and oil are coming up in significant amounts, and if the same is occurring in oil fields around the globe, then a lot more fuel than anyone expected could become available eventually. It hints that the world may not, in fact, be running out of petroleum. - Robert cook - newsday via papillon
Global Warming Is in the Air |
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The case for abiotic oil
The theory is simple: Crude oil forms as a natural inorganic process which occurs between the mantle and the crust, somewhere between 5 and 20 miles deep. The proposed mechanism is as follows:
Methane (CH4) is a common molecule found in quantity throughout our solar system huge concentrations exist at great depth in the Earth.
At the mantle-crust interface, roughly 20,000 feet beneath the surface, rapidly rising streams of compressed methane-based gasses hit pockets of high temperature causing the condensation of heavier hydrocarbons. The product of this condensation is commonly known as crude oil.
Some compressed methane-based gasses migrate into pockets and reservoirs we extract as "natural gas."
In the geologically "cooler," more tectonically stable regions around the globe, the crude oil pools into reservoirs.
In the "hotter," more volcanic and tectonically active areas, the oil and natural gas continue to condense and eventually to oxidize, producing carbon dioxide and steam, which exits from active volcanoes.
Periodically, depending on variations of geology and Earth movement, oil seeps to the surface in quantity, creating the vast oil-sand deposits of Canada and Venezuela, or the continual seeps found beneath the Gulf of Mexico and Uzbekistan.
Periodically, depending on variations of geology, the vast, deep pools of oil break free and replenish existing known reserves of oil.
sustainable oil?
Fossil Fuels Made without Fossils
The Diamond Evidence for Abiotic Oil:
Another item supportive of the abiogenic theory is the data Gold gathered from diamonds, which are a pure form
of carbon. The temperatures and pressures required to form diamonds begin at depths of 70 miles. This far
down, where the pressures are nearly 600,000 pounds per square inch, is far below the reach and survival of
fossils. Environmentalists and others claim that hydrocarbons cannot be created in the domains of such high
temperatures; dia-monds would disassociate there, they say, and, therefore, could not have possibly been
crea-ted there. But such claims have failed to take into account the stabilizing, effects of high pressure
on temperature-related excitation. In any case, Gold has confirmed that between the interstitial spaces of
the carbon crystals that comprise the diamonds, one finds hydrocarbons. The biogenic theory of "fossil
fuels" has no explanation for this fact of nature. -
Hydrocarbons Fuels are Not Fossils
Dr Thomas Gold
But not everyone believes in peak oil theory. Dr. Thomas Gold, an astrophysicist at Cornell University,
has a theory as controversial as Hubbert's once was. Unlike most geologists, Gold does not believe that oil
comes from decomposed biomass, i.e., dead dinosaurs and the like. Instead, he has an abiogenic theory of oil
production, believing that oil comes from far deeper in the earth than we recognize, and that thus there
is a lot more of it than we can currently predict. While certainly a minority opinion, the discovery of
bacteria at far greater depths than previously known and the claim that some oil fields are actually
refilling lends some credence to his theories.
"Hubbert's peak is an arbitrary invention," Gold says. Gold's own book on the subject, The Deep, Hot
Biosphere, explains his theory that oil comes from the very same "stuff" from which our planet was
formed billions of years ago. We're sitting on a world full of black gold and won't ever run out.
source
Walt Sheasby - The Coming Panic over the End of Oil - Coming to a Ballot Box Near You
You probably realize, as many do not, that the Era of Cheap Oil and Gas is over.
As Matthew E. Simmons,
the CEO of the energy investment bankers of Simmons and Co. International, recently said:
"I think basically
that now, that peaking of oil will never be accurately predicted until after the fact. But the event will
occur, and my analysis is leaning me more by the month, the worry that peaking is at hand; not years away.
If it turns out I'm wrong, then I'm wrong. But if I'm right, the unforeseen consequences are devastating "
Well, guess what? Simmons is not only an oilionaire himself, but he has been a key advisor to the Bush
Administration and to Vice President Cheney's 2001 Energy Task Force, as well as sitting on the Council
on Foreign Relations.
Simmons is a board member of Kerr-McGee Corp., a major oil and gas producer.
He insists that the US government is very worried about oil depletion. However, Cheney's secretive
National Energy Policy Development Group (NEPDG) refused to make its records of closed-door meetings
with industry executives public.
The Industry has taken a beating in public opinion since the Kyoto
summit put the spotlight on global warming. And now Simmons apparently wants to make the public's
fear of The End of Cheap Oil the drum beat of the 2004 Re-elect Bush and Cheney Campaign, although
a more enlightened energy policy, he worries, "is going to take a while."
- Dave Mcgowans CIA page
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Astrophysicist and innovator; 84
Dr. Thomas Gold, an astrophysicist at Cornell University whose wide-ranging work touched on lunar
exploration, the origins of oil and the creation of the universe, often in the face of accepted
theories, died Tuesday at Cayuga Medical Center in Ithaca, N.Y. He was 84.
The cause was complications from heart disease, his daughter Lauren said. -
source
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Green Activist Walt Sheasby dies from West Nile virus
Longtime Green Party activist and Claremont resident , Walt Sheasby, apparently is the seventh Californian to die from the mosquito-borne West Nile virus.
A Green Party activist and Claremont resident apparently is the seventh Californian to die from the mosquito-
borne West Nile virus.
Walter, 62, died late Thursday at Kaiser Permanente Hospital in Fontana after being hospitalized
for 10 days with symptoms of West Nile, according to a San Bernardino County Coroner's report
Friday. Test results at the hospital confirmed he had the virus.
State health officials reported 249 confirmed West Nile infections statewide Friday, up from Tuesday's
count of 193. San Bernardino County, the epicenter of the epidemic, recorded 96 cases, followed by
Los Angeles County with 81 and Riverside County with 51. -
source
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"The suggestion that petroleum might have arisen from some transformation of squashed fish or biological detritus is surely the silliest notion to have been entertained by substantial numbers of persons over an extended period of time."
Fred Hoyle, 1982.
Must read; The Russian source for Abiotic Oil theory
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What a choice!
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Peak OIL = FEAR, scarcity, economic depression, resource hoarding, wars, WWIII, apocalypse!!!
Abiotic Oil = [if global warming is to be believed]- continued and infinite expansion / use of dirty industrial infrastructure, continued geo-strategic asset rape, wars, WWIII, climate meltdown, ice age, apocalypse!!!
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'Hundreds of years' of oil available
'Black Gold Stranglehold' author debates scarcity-theory advocate
November 2, 2005 - In a dynamic debate regarding the origins of oil, best-selling author of "Black Gold Stranglehold: The Myth of Scarcity and the Politics of Oil," Craig Smith, told CNBC's "Squawk Box" yesterday: "We can get all the oil we need for dozens, if not hundreds of years to come."
Debating peak oil vs. deep oil perspectives, Smith went head-to-head with Matthew Simmons, author of "Twilight in the Desert" on the cable news outlet's program. Smith, CEO of Swiss America Trading Company, contends that oil is not a fossil fuel. Rather, he believes it is being producing deep within the earth and is brought to attainable depths by centrifugal forces of the earth's rotation. In contrast, Simmons argues that oil is a finite resource and that Saudi Arabian oil supplies are dwindling, putting the world in a possible economic and political crisis.
Smith argued: "We currently have 1.28 trillion barrels of proven reserves, which are the highest in our history. And if, in fact, we are depleting the giant oil wells, how come the reserves are continuing to increase? … I just don't buy the theory that we're running out of oil."
While Simmons agreed that the planet is not running out of oil, he insisted the industry is facing a peak production crisis. "The risk of running out of oil is miniscule," he said, "but the risk that we're peaking is a very real threat."
-worldnetdaily
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